Sind „ineffektive“ Wetterderivate effiziente Risikomanagementinstrumente?

Abstract

We describe a risk programming model that can be used to determine farmers’ willingness-to-pay for weather derivatives. Applying it to a Brandenburg farm reveals that even a highly standardized contract based on accumulated rainfall generates a relevant willingness-to-pay. We find that an underwriter could even add a loading (on the actuarially fair price) which exceeds the level of traditional insurances. Since transaction costs are low compared to insurances, this indicates a relevant trading potential.