Modelling the Mass Flow and Land Use of Future Housing Demand in Germany 2025 — Scenario Results of UBA — Research Project BASiS-2

Abstract

A team of scientists of the Institute of Ecological and Regional Development, the Institute for Applied Ecology and TU Dresden developed a software-tool (BASiS-2) which describes the existing housing stock of Germany and allows the modelling of development paths. The model uses findings from empirical analyses of material-flow and landuse in the housing sector in Germany taking into account the building stock and the essential technical infrastructure facilities. Statistical data on a national level and empirical findings allow to estimate the environmental impact of the housing sector. Through the introduction of a scenario editor the user can check on different development options and find out, whether and how Germany will match its sustainability targets set by the cabinet-decision from April 2002. The BASiS-2-Project was financed by the Federal Environmental Agency of Germany.